Photo: Alex Maligawa / RIA Novosti
The Director of analytical Department of investment company “Alpari” Alexander Razuvaev called consequences for Russia in the capture of a Ukrainian ship by the end of the incident in the Kerch Strait. He is convinced that Moscow would face new sanctions and another collapse of the ruble. Words of the analyst is presented in the letter of the press service, a copy of which is at the disposal “of the Tape.ru”.
“New sanctions are introduced almost certainly and can even touch the Russian ruble-denominated sovereign debt, plus all of this is superimposed on the fall in oil prices,” — said Razuvaev.
The analyst notes that the probability of a rate hike at the next meeting of the Board of Directors of the Central Bank increases significantly.
In addition to new sanctions, Razuvaev expects a new round of devaluation of the ruble. According to his estimates, if the Central Bank does not intervene in the situation on the currency market, the drop will be approximately 10-15 percent. However, he expects negative consequences for Ukraine.
“And of course, you need to remember about the Ukrainian gas transit. Not yet completed projects “Nord stream-2” and “Turkish stream” the issue is not resolved. Objectively, this whole situation shows Ukraine as an unreliable partner in matters of energy transit,” — said Razuvaev.
According to the analyst, another aggravation of relations between Ukraine and Russia will negatively affect the value of the shares of the state company “Gazprom”.
Sunday, November 25, border patrol, Federal security service of Russia detained three ships of the Ukrainian Navy. The incident occurred in the territorial waters of the Crimea near the Kerch Strait. Kiev sees this as “an act of military aggression”, Moscow has declared its violation of Ukrainian sailors of the Russian state border.
Video, photo All from Russia.