The mathematical model predicted the peak of the epidemic of coronavirus in Russia


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A mathematical model of Sberbank predicted time of the peak of the epidemic of coronavirus in Russia — the first decade of may. About it RIA Novosti said the first Deputy Chairman of Board of Bank Alexander Vedyahin.

According to Vedyahina, according to the realized scenario of the spread of coronavirus, the peak incidence in Moscow there will come a “few days earlier”.

The mathematical model takes into account the distribution of the population by regions and countries, migration between these areas, using all types of transport and different statuses of cases — from receptive to convalescent, added Vedyahin.

He noted that the mathematical model was created based on epidemiological simulator GLEAM, it worked the best specialists of Sberbank in big data Analytics and artificial-intelligence researchers.

April 28, doctor of medical Sciences, virologist, Professor Anatoly Altstein said that the end of the epidemic of coronavirus in Russia will be possible when every day will register no more than one hundred cases of infection.

April 27, the Kremlin’s spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, said that Russia should reach a plateau for the coronavirus to the middle of may. According to him, “in the first month of summer will be easy.”

According to recent reports, only Russia recorded a 93.5 per thousand cases of infection with coronavirus. Over the entire period was 867 deaths, 8456 people have recovered.

Video, photo All from Russia.


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