Photo: Alexander Zemlianichenko / Reuters
In the administration of the President of Belarus, the doubt of an easy victory of Alexander Lukashenko in the presidential election. In an interview with DW said political analyst Joerg Forbrig (Joerg Forbrig), who runs research in the field of Central and Eastern Europe at the German Marshall Fund of the United States.
According to Forbrig, another re-election of Lukashenko may be difficult because of the unresolved dispute with Russia over supplies of oil and gas, as well as the project of political integration. Also on the successful outcome of the campaign could influence the economic crisis and the increased popularity of independent candidates.
“We see that Alexander Lukashenko is extremely sensitive to information about the popularity of their possible opponents. This is a new situation, it irritates him. He makes a sharp statement that the status quo should be maintained. But in the presidential Palace in Minsk there is a large nervousness,” explained the analyst.
He also noted that within the ruling elite of Belarus rifts. “There’s always your “doves” and “hawks”. Some require tough measures to maintain order, others are calling for modernization and reform,” — said Forbrig.
Russia’s influence on the electoral process in Belarus, the expert called insignificant. Thus, in his opinion, the Kremlin will attempt to apply a set of tactics that will achieve the desired for Moscow result.
Earlier, the rival of Lukashenka in the upcoming presidential elections Victor Babariko accused the government that their actions lead to the loss of the country’s sovereignty. He said that over the years of Lukashenka’s rule, Belarus has not become economically independent country, as it requires a 3-5 billion dollar investment.
Video, photo All from Russia.